Amid Delta Variant Uncertainty, New Research Reveals the Safety of In-Person Business Events
As the Delta variant continues to cause some hesitancy about holding events, with a few cancelling and others taking place as planned, new research may hold the key to putting the industry’s mind at ease.
According to findings from a research partnership between Freeman, a global leader in events, and Epistemix, a computational modeling software company, large in-person business events are safe and do not increase local COVID-19 case rates.
“Based on the data we’ve seen, attending an in-person event is no riskier—in fact, less risky— than essential daily activities,” said Freeman CEO Bob Priest-Heck. “Businesses and organizations want to get back to events for critical commerce, networking and exchange of ideas. This research provides the framework for doing so safely.”
Epistemix, a computational modeling software company that develops simulations to fight disease and inform public health policy, has developed an approach that enables it to model the risk of infection and subsequent impact on local hospitals due to in-person business events. The modeling represents more than two dozen cities and key event destinations with back-testing confirming its model forecasts.
“We recognize the current rise in Delta variant cases has led some event organizers and exhibitors to consider cancellations,” said John Cordier, CEO and co-founder of Epistemix. “Our modeling and data can help show organizers and public health officials replace that uncertainty with confidence to plan safe events.”
Following are key findings of the research:
- Risks of COVID-19 infection at events were as much as eight times less than the metro area where they were being held. For recent August events, the infection rates were as much as 95 percent lower than the U.S. at large.
- In-person business event participants are more likely to be vaccinated, reflecting a vaccination rate above 80 percent and creating vaccination coverage that drastically cuts transmission of COVID-19 at those events, regardless of the gathering size.
- Despite some concerns over the Delta variant, the majority of attendees and exhibitors want to return to in-person events, and more than 90 percent are not opposed to additional health and safety protocols to enable them to gather safely. Further, those who do not support additional protocols say they instead choose to stay home, mitigating any added risks of potential infections.
The research results come as many cities and states have implemented mask and vaccine mandates, while others consider increasing protocols, particularly since the FDA granted full approval Aug. 23 of the Pfizer-BioNTech’s coronavirus vaccine for people ages 16 and older.
New York City, San Francisco and New Orleans now require proof of vaccination to enter indoor establishments such as restaurants, bars, fitness centers and entertainment venues. San Jose, Calif., also implemented a vaccine mandate for city-owned buildings, including San Jose McEnery Convention Center, SAP Center and the Center for the Performing Arts.
Additionally, indoor mask mandates are currently enforced in California, Connecticut, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Illinois, Louisiana, Nevada, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Puerto Rico and Washington.
With the latest CDC mask-wearing recommendation for vaccinated people indoors in areas of high transmission, the U.S. Travel Association recently doubled down on the safety of events, saying adhering to the new recommendations will allow people to safely return to their professional lives, including in-person meetings and events.
Although some events have been cancelled in the past month due to the Delta variant and rising COVID-19 case counts, others continue to be held safely and successfully.
New York City's recently expanded Javits Center experienced some cancellations of large consumer and trade shows, while other upcoming trade shows, exhibitions, conferences and meetings are set to go on as planned.
“In this environment, hosting any large-scale event is a challenge, but there continues to be a great demand for in-person meetings and events throughout the country,” said Tony Sclafani, senior vice president and chief communications officer at the Javits Center. "We are working closely with event organizers to host a series of upcoming events in the fall.”
Masks are required at the center, regardless of vaccination status, and several infectious disease prevention measures have been put in place, including HEPA filtration systems and becoming GBAC STAR-certified by the Global Biorisk Advisory Council to maintain strict cleaning and disinfection protocols.
In Orlando, which has been challenged with a high daily case rate, the Orange County Convention Center (OCCC) also had a handful of clients cancel due to Delta variant concerns, but the center continues to host dozens of other events with health and safety top of mind.
“We remain committed to the safety of our employees, clients, attendees and exhibitors and continue to adhere to the CDC’s guidelines and our comprehensive health and safety protocols in our Recovery and Resiliency Guidelines,” said OCCC director Mark Tester.
With its Recovery and Resiliency Guidelines, GBAC Star Reaccreditation, pioneering collaboration with Orlando Health and detailed planning efforts with each event, the OCCC implemented a unique model that officials said has been the key to hosting events safely in new era of health and safety protocols. Since July 2020, it has held more than 100 face-to-face events, and it has 52 events on the books through December 31.
Additionally, all OCCC employees are now required to be fully vaccinated by Sept. 30, unless otherwise exempt.
In other places around the country, trade shows, expos, conferences, meetings and other events are also taking place with appropriate health and safety measures. Several major trade shows have even instituted vaccine mandates as an extra protocol, including CES 2022, the world’s most influential technology trade show, scheduled for Jan. 5-8 at the Las Vegas Convention Center.
Among the other major upcoming events being held as planned are Salesforce's Dreamforce, set for Sept. 21-23 at San Francisco's Moscone Center as well as virtually; IMEX America, scheduled for Nov. 9-11 at Mandalay Bay Resort and Casino in Las Vegas, and Global Business Travel Association (GBTA) 2021 Convention, slated for Nov. 17-19 at the OCCC.
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